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KEY TAKEAWAYS

Mississauga Budget Committee (2026 Budget Review – January 12, 2026)

Mississauga’s Budget Committee reviewed the proposed 2026 city budget, calling for a 1.61% city property tax increase, dramatically lower than the 13.3% increase forecasted last year. The reduction was achieved through $17.4 million in efficiencies, a $33 million draw from reserves, and a temporary reduction in capital levies. When combined with the Region of Peel’s 3.66% increase, total property tax increases for Mississauga residents would reach 5.21%. The meeting also addressed economic headwinds, labour costs, capital cuts, resident survey results, and long-term financial pressures that will shape future budgets.

What Happened

  • Staff presented a proposed 1.61% city tax increase, down from a previously forecast 13.3%, achieved through:

    • $17.4 million in efficiencies

    • A $33 million draw from the fiscal stability reserve

    • Reducing the capital infrastructure levy from 3% to 1% for 2026

  • Combined with Peel Region’s increase, residents face a total tax increase of 5.21%, equal to $53.91 per $100,000 of assessment (about $530 on a $1 million home).

  • Labour costs remain the largest pressure, totalling $64.5 million, representing 76% of the total budget increase, largely driven by union settlements and prior-year hiring.

  • The city reduced its 10-year capital plan by $259 million, including cuts to roads, parks, recreation facilities, fire equipment, and libraries.

  • Five major departments presented budgets covering $163 million in operating costs and $200 million in capital spending for 2026.

  • Council reviewed resident survey results showing 76% satisfaction with city services, but strong concern over housing costs, crime, and future affordability.

  • Staff flagged major future pressures, including a $390 million municipal contribution toward the new Peter Gilgan Hospital and potential revenue losses tied to changes in airport payments.

Why This Matters

While Mississauga avoided a double-digit tax increase for 2026, the lower rate relies heavily on one-time measures, including reserve withdrawals and deferred capital spending. Labour costs, infrastructure needs, hospital funding, and long-term capital obligations remain embedded in future budgets. For residents, this meeting showed how near-term tax relief can come at the cost of deferred expenses and rising financial pressure in later years.

FULL MEETING COVERAGE

Mississauga's Budget Committee reviewed the city's proposed 2026 budget on January 12, calling for a 1.61% property tax increase. This is significantly below the 13.3% originally forecasted during the 2025 budget cycle. Staff achieved the reduction through $17.4 million in identified efficiencies, decreased capital infrastructure levies, paused fire safety program funding, and a $33 million draw from the fiscal stability reserve. Combined with the Region of Peel's 3.66% increase, total property tax increases for Mississauga residents would reach 5.21%.

Economic Headwinds and Local Resilience

CIBC Capital Markets Executive Director Andrew Grantham outlined significant economic challenges facing the region. Grantham warned that Trump administration policies would slow both U.S. and Canadian economic growth.

"The tariffs themselves are creating some inflationary pressures and that's making it harder for people to be able to buy as many goods as they otherwise would have done"

Andrew Grantham, CIBC Capital Markets Executive Director

Grantham projected the U.S. economy would be approximately 1% weaker over two years due to immigration restrictions and tariff policies. For Canada, 80-85% of trade with the U.S. remains tariff-free due to CUSMA exemptions, but Ontario faces higher exposure through auto, steel, and aluminum sectors.

Grantham noted Mississauga showed stronger local employment recovery than provincial averages, explaining the city has since seen greater improvement as newcomers integrate into the labour market.

"We saw a bigger increase in the unemployment rate in Mississauga during the period where the Canadian economy was struggling through the period of high interest rates,"

Andrew Grantham

Grantham expressed concern about Bank of Canada reluctance to further stimulate the economy. He stated the bank remains "haunted by the ghost of inflation past" from 2022, keeping interest rates at levels that only marginally accelerate growth.

Councillor Hornick asked about income inequality patterns. Grantham confirmed Canada lacks the pronounced K-shaped economy evident in the U.S. "The whole economy is not doing particularly well, unfortunately," he said.

On housing, Grantham projected limited demand through 2026 due to constrained Bank of Canada rate cuts. Mortgage renewals would impact 5-10% of homeowners significantly, with many facing payment increases exceeding 20% despite lower rates than peak periods.

Mississauga's Economic Performance and Investment Activity

Director of Economic Development Christina Kakaflas reported 65 new investment or expansion projects in 2025, representing 5,100 jobs and $2.2 billion in capital investment.

Canadian companies drove the majority of activity, though international inquiries from European and Asian firms increased amid U.S. tariff uncertainty. Manufacturing led new investment, followed by smart logistics, life sciences, and professional services.

Mayor Parish pressed for increased financial support for professional creative sectors, citing underfunded programs.

Resident Satisfaction Survey Results Show Mixed Findings

Forum Research Senior Research Director Sarah Lamb presented results from the 2025 resident engagement survey, conducted online between October 6 and November 6, 2025, with 1,002 responses.

2025 Resident Engagement Survey Key Findings:

  • Overall satisfaction: 76% for city services, 66% for municipal government

  • Top concerns: Housing costs and crime/safety (17-18% each)

  • Taxation preferences: 59% agreed to tax/fee increases (34% to maintain programs, 25% to add new ones)

  • Among those accepting increases: 47% preferred user fees vs. 19% preferring property tax increases

  • Budget priorities: 59% favoured affordable taxes/fees, 54% supported infrastructure maintenance, 45% backed essential services

  • Regional cost-sharing: 81% wanted population-based allocation

  • Housing affordability: 72% believed rising costs would impact their ability to live in Mississauga over five years

Methodology Concerns:

Mayor Parish challenged the survey's accuracy, questioning online-only sampling. "The under representation worries me," the mayor stated, noting nearly 80% preferred email/text communication.

"When you get a group as high as you did that prefer high taxes, that doesn't match any of the phone calls we get in our offices. Not one bit."

Mayor Parish

Councillor Kovac observed benchmark cities positioned Mississauga near the bottom for satisfaction, despite the city being named Canada's happiest large city in Leger's 2025 report.

Survey cost: $21,000 (compared to $50,000+ for telephone methodology).

2026 Budget Framework and Tax Impact

Director of Finance and Deputy Treasurer Faraz Alli presented the proposed 2026 budget under the strong mayor power framework. The budget document was published January 6, with Council meeting January 28 to approve amendments under a shortened 30-day period.

Cost Pressures:

  • Maintaining current service levels: $84.5 million (11.31% of net operating budget)

  • Labour costs: $64.5 million (76% of total budget increase), with 68% attributed to union settlements

  • "This is the biggest driver or the biggest news item for 2026 budget," Alli stated

Cost Mitigation Strategies:

  • Efficiencies identified: $17.4 million (2.33%), including fuel savings ($1.8 million), lower diesel costs ($1.7 million), increased golf revenue, IT software rationalization, and contract position reductions

  • New initiatives: Less than $0.3 million (0.04% budget increase); 10 of 14 initiatives self-funded or capital-funded

  • Capital infrastructure levy: Reduced from 3% to 1% for 2026 (returning to 3% for 2027-2029)

  • Reserve transfer: $33 million from fiscal stability reserve (reducing balance from $60 million to $27 million)

Capital Budget Reductions ($259 million over 10 years):

  • Roads: $110 million (including $83 million road rehabilitation)

  • Parks: $60 million (including $46 million major park redevelopment)

  • Recreation: $35 million (community centre renovations)

  • Fire: $26 million (vehicle and equipment replacement)

  • Library: $23 million (projects and technology)

  • Public safety fire levy paused for 2026, resuming 2027-2028

Tax Impact:

  • City portion: $16.60 per $100,000 assessment (1.61% increase)

  • Region of Peel portion: $37.24 per $100,000 assessment

  • Total increase: $53.91 per $100,000 assessment ($530 for a $1 million property)

  • Proposed rate below 16-year average (1.8%) and 2025 CPI (2.2%)

Questions and Clarifications:

Councillor Hornick confirmed average staff salary increases around 2.5%. Alli clarified the $64.5 million labour increase includes annualization of mid-year 2025 hires ($11 million), compounded 2024 union settlements ($26 million), and varying fringe benefit rates (37-38% for fire, 28% for non-union).

Resident Chris Mackey questioned the labour adjustment. Alli confirmed actual average salary increase around 2.5%, not the $12,122 per FTE Mackey calculated. On assessment growth credit of 1.22% (exceeding last year's 0.6%), Alli confirmed this represents actual growth from condo completions transitioning to assessment rolls.

Future Budget Pressures: Hospital Levy and Airport Payment Cap

Alli identified two significant future budget impacts. Council unanimously approved a $390 million municipal contribution toward Trillium Health Partners' Peter Gilgan Hospital, expected to reach substantial completion by 2033. The city proposes a 1% annual hospital levy starting in 2029, with revenue directed to a dedicated reserve. A debenture would cover any shortfall between the approved contribution and levy collections as of January 1, 2033.

The Province of Ontario removed the cap on Greater Toronto Airports Authority (GTAA) payments in lieu of taxes in 2022, but subsequently introduced a 5% cap on annual increases once GTAA reaches pre-pandemic passenger volume of 49.2 million, projected for 2029. "If passenger volume exceeds 5% annually, Mississauga will experience a loss in potential revenue once this cap is introduced," Alli explained.

The long-range financial plan strategy, updated from the 2016 framework, establishes 10 guiding principles for future decision-making. The plan provides clarity beyond annual budgets, allowing understanding of long-range impacts, trade-offs, and risks of inaction.

Service Area Budget Presentations

Five city departments presented their 2026 budgets, representing $163 million in operating costs and $200 million in capital investments.

Parks, Forestry and Environment — Director Nadia Barakat

Operating budget of $45 million (6% of city budget) with a $1.1 million increase for labour and benefits. No new initiatives requested.

Major capital investments:

$45 million for parkland acquisitions, plus funding for sport fields, washrooms, trails, bridges, and playgrounds. The 10-year capital plan totals $700 million for projects including Lake View Village Park, Cooksville Parkland Development, and the former Grand Highlands golf course.

Mississauga Library — CEO Rona Rosenbluth

Operating budget of $30 million (4% of city budget) with a $2.4 million increase driven by collective agreement requirements.

Usage highlights:

7 million items borrowed, 3.7 million facility visits, and 17.7% growth in active cardholders.

One new initiative converts four part-time positions to one full-time supervisor at Hazel McCallion Central Library. Capital budget of $8.29 million focuses on South Common Library renovation, with $120 million planned over 10 years.

Recreation and Culture — Director Lisa Bovair

Operating budget of $32.5 million (4% of city budget) with a modest $500,000 increase after identifying $2.2 million in efficiencies that offset over 90% of cost pressures. The division welcomed 12 million visitors.

One new initiative:

$276,000 for free year-round one-to-one inclusion support services for participants with disabilities, launching fully by Q3 2027.

Capital budget of $51.8 million includes Lake View Golf Course upgrades and design work for new community centres and libraries in Meadowvale Valley and Cooksville.

Facilities and Property Management — Director Annard Murugan

Operating budget of $39 million (3% of city budget) with a $1.2 million increase. The division manages over 350 facilities totalling 5.6 million square feet valued at $2.9 billion—with 65% of buildings exceeding 30 years old.

Staff identified $110,000 in efficiencies. Capital budget of $50 million maintains aging infrastructure in a state-of-good-repair, with $485 million in life cycle renewals planned over 10 years.

Regulatory Services — Director Giorgios Papadopoulos

Operating budget of $16.6 million (2% of city budget) with a $2.1 million increase. Phase two of a two-year expansion proposes 58 new staff positions with costs fully offset by revenues—no tax impact.

Service volumes:

The division administers over 40 bylaws, responded to 80,000 investigation requests, and facilitated 566 animal adoptions last year.

Councillor Hornick questioned the revenue-neutral claim, noting a $6.7 million revenue-expense gap has grown over two years. Papadopoulos explained parking enforcement is scaling up and new reinspection fees ($400 first visit, $800 second, $1,200 third) will increase cost recovery.

Upcoming Key Dates

January 19-20, 2026: Budget Committee backup meeting dates

January 28, 2026: Council meeting to approve budget amendments (if shortened amendment period approved)

February 4, 2026: Final date for budget adoption if standard 30-day amendment period not shortened

Source Note

This analysis is based on the January 12, 2026 Budget Committee meeting and supporting documents. All quotes, timestamps, and figures are drawn directly from official meeting transcripts.

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